China Changes the Rules, Creates Big Impact on US Markets

Overview: China unexpectedly raised their lending rate for the first time in three years by one-quarter point. This caused the dollar to soar, the Dow lose nearly 200 points, and gold to tank nearly $40 today. As a result, there was a sharp knee-jerk reaction lower the grains. Traders fear that China’s action may cool[…]

Friday Grain Wrap-Up 10/15/20

Overview: Corn and soybeans traders were apprehensive today. The dollar was stronger, the stock market struggled, while gold and crude were lower. Bernanke spoke yesterday reinforcing previous statements that the economy is slow and additional stimulus may be needed. This may have spooked traders causing them to even positions ahead of the weekend.   Corn:[…]

On the Money Grain Commentary 10/14/10

Corn Outlook: Temperatures are soaring in corn futures keeping traders nerves frayed. Prices were slammed two weeks ago because of the bearish stocks report. However, the heat turned up the following week when the USDA slashed their yield estimate to 155.8 bpa from 162.5 bpa. With over a $2.00 price swing within a two-week period,[…]

Don’t Get Caught “Running with the Bulls”: Monday Grain Update 10/11/10

Overview: Corn and soybeans were higher again today as the funds are buying back the positions that they liquidated early last week.  Right now, traders are wildly bullish, which is predictable considering the bullish USDA report on Friday and the current stage of the pattern that we are in now.  However, as I mentioned in[…]

Grain Update: Oct 5 2010

Click here sign up for a FREE! trial subscription to our daily newsletters.   Overview: After three days of fund liquidation in corn, the sell-off seems to have run its course. Early last week, the long corn position held by the trend following funds stood at a record 1.860 BB and reached a record of 715[…]

Friday Grain Wrap Up 10-1-10

Overview: Grain futures are still gasping for air after having the wind knocked out from yesterday’s bearish stocks report in corn.  The chances are that some new crop corn found its way into the report because of early harvest.  However, the USDA says that this was not the case.  In the meantime, it will take[…]

Grain Update 9/27/10

Overview:     Grain futures, with the exception of soybeans, backed off today from the forecast of ideal harvest weather this week and month end profit taking by the funds. Meanwhile, fear of inflation because of quantitative easing by the Fed’s will provide underlying support. In order for inflation to become a serious threat, however, demand[…]

Grain Update 9 20 10

Overview: During the past several sessions, the funds have gobbled up anything that related to commodities. However, they may be getting their fill, as soybeans were higher but corn and old crop wheat lower. Overall, traders are bullish from disappointing corn yields in the U.S., freeze threats in China and dryness in South America. Meanwhile, investors[…]

Friday Grain Wrap-up 9/17/10

Overview:  The commodity funds were out in full force today, which was the reason behind the strength in grains. Commodities, in general, were higher across the board even though the dollar was stronger. Most of the gains came in the overnight session, which is the typical “M.O.” of the funds. Keep in mind that they[…]

On the Money Grain Commentary 9/16/10

The good news is corn may be approaching multi-year highs, the bad news it, you probably won’t have much of it to sell if the current harvest reports are to be believed. Dewey Strickler explains as he analysis the week’s activity from the CBOT and what it means for the nation’s farmers. Corn Outlook:  Exuberance in corn abounds from[…]