Corn Outlook: The bulls were silenced when USDA left 2011-12 ending stocks of corn unchanged from March at 801 MB. Traders expected a reduction of 70-80 MB because of the decline in the grain stocks report last month. However, supplies remain tight as world stocks fell 1.4 percent with stocks-to-usage in the lower third[…]
Corn Outlook: Concerns about tight supplies and optimism of increasing demand from China are underpinning corn futures. Meanwhile, export inspections were nothing to write home about at 30.9 MB and below the average needed to reach USDA’s projection of 1.7 MB. Since December, shipments have been slipping and must rise 7.5 percent in order[…]
Corn Outlook: Corn futures face crosscurrents from tight old crop stocks, uncertainty surrounding the Greek bond swap, slower growth in China, and expectations for increased U.S. plantings. Since January, the bulls have held the upper hand building a long position. Last week, the trend following funds bought 170 MB of corn increasing their longs[…]
Corn Outlook: The upside momentum has waned in corn futures as the market has apparently reached a level of equilibrium that factors in production losses in South America. Currently, Argentina’s production is forecast at 22.0 million tons, down 4.0 million from January. Brazil’s crop is pegged at 61.0 million, unchanged from last month. Meanwhile,[…]
Corn Outlook: Corn futures rose sharply from mid December through early January amid concerns of dryness in South America and expectations that the January Crop Production and Supply-Demand report would be friendly. Emotions soared that heat damage to early-planted corn in Argentina is irreversible. Large traders turned bullish during this period, as the long[…]
Corn Outlook: Grain futures are struggling amid uncertainty surrounding the European debt crisis and poor exports. Currently, traders are unsure which way to turn going into the EU summit meeting on Thursday-Friday. Anxiety is high as there are fifteen countries facing a potential credit rating downgrade. The reality is there is no quick fix[…]
Corn Outlook: A new coalition government is being formed in Greece, but problems are brewing in Italy. Italy may be the next domino to fall as their bond yields have soared to over 7.0 percent. Be advised that Europe’s debt crisis is worsening caused by decades of fiscal mismanagement. Structural reform is needed to[…]
Corn Outlook: Corn futures have found traction after plummeting 26.5 percent since August. Bloodletting by the funds has subsided with their long position falling to 575 MB from the peak in September at 1.355 BB. Since 2010, large speculators have been the driving force in commodities. However, because of increased volatility and economic uncertainty[…]
Corn: Endings stocks fell to 1.116 BB compared to 1.312 BB last month. Stocks-to-usage are in the lower third of the twenty-year range. World ending stocks are down in the lower third of the twenty-year range. The report is within expectations with nothing present to derail the rally in corn. Soybeans: Soybean yields for[…]